This is depressing to face up to and depressing to write, but it has to be done. I was wrong about the Scottish independence referendum.
I don't think I was wrong to want rid of Trident and the House of Lords. I don't think I was wrong to want a proportionally elected national parliament with powers limited by a modern written constitution. I don't think I was wrong to think Scotland would in many ways be a better place for the majority of people living there if all its decisions were in the hands of a parliament elected by those people, rather than all the important ones being decided elsewhere for the benefit of interests that don't align very closely with mine. I stand by that.
But I was wrong. I was wrong that any of the above would be relevant to the outcome.
I was wrong to hope that a cynically negative campaign might fail, when I should have known better, having seen it done to the Labour party in general elections before. That was particularly stupid of me.
I was wrong to be carried away by positive visions of what could be, and let wishful thinking distort my perception of the situation: this was objectively a long shot, and it's rare for entrenched political power allied with corporate interests to lose this kind of game.
We've been offered a timetable for Westminster to decide what new powers the Scottish parliament should be given. But I was never in this for the Scottish parliament to have more powers; I wanted government to have less power, or at least for that power to be more accountable. That isn't on offer as far as I can tell, but you never know, I could be completely wrong about that too. Let's hope so.